Dawn Rivera’s Fremont & East Bay Real Estate Blog

The Federal tax credit is nearing an end, and the state tax credit is just begining.   You have to be in Escrow by 04/31 to receive the Federal tax credit.  You have to close escrow after 05/01/10 to receiev the State credit.   The homes in alameda county have gone up 28% , One of my homes went from a value of 380,000 to 480,000 in the last year.  So to everyone who is waiting and sitting on the fence I say you better get on the ball and get off the fence.  The prices of homes are going  up and so are the interest rates.   Don’t miss the boat on the low rates and low prices!!

A spurt in home sales in 2009, aided by low interest rates and the first-time home-buyer tax credit, has led some economists to forecast a turnaround in the housing market this year.

Among those who see improvement in the 2010 market is Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (NAR). Yun hopes that the extension of the first-time home-buyer tax credit will provide a new pool of buyers to absorb the additional foreclosures that will hit the market this year.

He expects existing-home sales to rise 13.6 percent in 2010; home prices should go up 3 to 5 percent, with wide geographic differences. The average rate on 30-year fixed mortgages will range from 5.3 percent in the first quarter to 5.8 percent by year end. This forecast assumes there will be no major economic surprises. The weak job market remains a concern.

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) has a slightly different take on the 2010 housing market. MBA predicts existing-home sales will increase approximately 11.2 percent. Interest rates should be about 5.6 percent by the end of 2010. The unemployment rate is expected to peak at 10.2 percent and gradually decline in 2011. National average home prices should stop sliding during the first part of the year and stabilize, depending on area and price range. 

In my office we have seen a marked improvement in the number of first time buyers calling for help buying a home.  I have been doing floor time (answering calls) and in the last five days I have acquired 5 new clients, one a day.

Living in the San Francisco Bay area is wonderful for many reasons.  The City has many wonderful Restaurants, Hotels, and the night life is awesome as well.  On this past Thursday I went to the De Young Museum and saw the King Tut exhibit.  It was an ultimate experience.  I can not believe the wonderful craftsmanship of the artifacts.  I am talking about stuff that is over 3500 years old and looks like modern tools were used.  I was not allowed to take pictures (of course) but I have added some I found on google, just to wet your appetite.  The exhibit will only be here for a couple of weeks and will not be back for at least 35 years.  If there is any way you can go see it you should make the effort.  Our wonderful state has the best weather, wonderful diversity, also some of the best museums around.  No wonder there is a housing shortage in California, that continues to raise the price of homes even in this slow economy.  Home prices have risen 2% in the last 12 months. Looks like we have hit the bottom and are on the way back up.

In the last year with the help of the tax credit, there has been a rise in first time home buyers. The National Association of Realtors says the percentage of first time buyer is up to 47% in 2009 compared to 41% in 2008 and 36% in 2006.

The unemployment rate is close to peaking and is projected to ease to 9.5% by the end of next year.

Read more: http://rismedia.com/2009-11-17/housing-a…

How to Buy a Bank owned home

This is a UTUBE video I thought you all would like. I thought it was funny and entertaining. It hits close to home in regards to bank owned homes and the “foreclosure specialists” assigned to list them..

When I first heard about the new housing bill, that would force banks to modify loans to keep people in their homes, or face stiff fines. I was excited. A housing bill that would help keep people in their homes, and slow or stop the dreaded foreclosures. Woo Hoo! How wonderful for the many people faced with losing their homes.

Then I viewed my Active Rain site and read a blog by JP Lowry of Preferred Financial Funding, titled What are We Doing America? in which he VERY ADAMANTLY stated why the bill was Disgusting, Ridiculous & Entitled. I have to say after reading it there were some very good points. Now I am not sure where I stand and was wondering what other opinions were.

I am very happy for the families that will be able to keep their homes, but at what cost? I agree that some people bought homes that they knew they could not afford, but… the lenders let them. Also as tax payers have already bailed out the banks shouldn’t the money be used for what it was intended?

The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) has delayed the implementation of rules that could make life more difficult for condo buyers across the country. The delay should be especially helpful for those hoping to qualify for the first-time buyer tax credit that expires after Nov. 30.

The new FHA rules, which were to take effect Oct. 1, 2009 will now be effective on Nov. 2. They are designed to improve the lending process, but they could cause some short-term delays in completing loans and closing purchases. The FHA was wise to delay the implementation of these changes. Now, buyers trying to close a transaction by Nov. 30 should be able to file their FHA loan applications early enough to qualify under the old regulations.

The importance of FHA financing has grown substantially in the last few years because conventional mortgage financing has become harder to obtain due to more stringent underwriting requirements. According to some estimates, 25% of homes purchased this year in the United States will use an FHA insured mortgage, up from 2% just three years ago.

About 1/3 the transactions I’ve closed this year involved FHA backed mortgages, and most of those folks were first-time buyers purchasing a condo. Many first-time buyers are short on cash and turn to FHA financing because it allows them to put down as little as 3.5%, in contrast to the 10% down payment required for most conventional loans.

The new FHA regulations now will apply to all mortgage applications received on Nov. 2 or later. Files that were initiated prior to Nov. 2 will be processed under the old regulations, even if the loan does not close until after Nov. 2.

The major reason the new regulations may slow down the purchasing process when they become effective is that they end what are known as spot approvals of individual condominium units. Instead, the entire condominium property will need to be approved before an FHA-insured loan can be used.

Many condominium properties have never received FHA approval. However, even those condo complexes that now have FHA approval will need to be recertified after Nov. 2 if their approval was recieved more than two years ago. It may be possible to expedite that certification process by seeking a loan from an institution that is also an FHA Direct Endorsement Lender. That status allows a lender to directly carry out the certification process needed to grant FHA approval to a condominium complex.

The new FHA regulations taking effect Nov. 2 also contain other restrictions that could make life more complicated for condo buyers. Here is a partial list:

-At least 50% of units in the project must be owner occupied or under contract to owners who intend to occupy them. For new construction, the 50% owner-occupied rule applies to those units closed or under contract.

-For new construction condominiums, at least 50% of the total number of units planned must be sold or under contract before an FHA insured mortgage can be closed.

-No more than 25% of the total floor area of a condo property can be used for commercial purposes.

-No more than 15% of the units can be more than 30 days past due on their assessment payments to the condominium association.

There is, however, some good news for borrowers in the new FHA regulations. For example, they eliminate the long-time prohibition against the FHA financing units in condominiums where the homeowners association retains a right of first refusal.

Another change allows the FHA to insure loans in new condo conversions for any qualified buyer. Previously, only former rental tenants could get FHA financing for the first 12 months.

The changes in FHA regulations are just one example of the current environment. It has seemed as if lending requirements have been changing on a daily basis this year.Thjose looking for a condo will benifit greatly by working with a Realtor who knows the local condominium market. An agent with in-depth knowledge of the local market offers two important advantages to buyers right now, First, they are going to know which condo buildings offer the best opportunity to secure good financing, whether it’s conventional or FHA. If you have a building where the association has financial problems or one with a high percentage of renters, it can be almost impossible to get a mortgage right now. Second, the agent will help buyers avoid the potential potholes that can come with condominium ownership. For example, before I even show a condo building now, I will study the minutes of the condo board meeting to learn what plans and problems might be on the horizon. An agent who doesn’t normally work in an area just can’t develop that kind of knowledge.

Okay, I’m going to do something I normally avoid; I’m going out on a limb and publicize my housing predictions for 2010. While I occasionally discuss general trends and opinions about the market, I think it’s important for all of us to have as much information as possible in order to properly plan our futures. And while this is only my opinion, after all, it’s the only one I can offer; it’s based on 4 decades of experience combined with careful observations of current trends and conditions. Here is what I see the future of housing:

I think the Fed will throw everything in it’s arsenal towards keeping interest rates low throughout 2010. To do otherwise would be to sabotage an economy that has been both erratic and unstable, and would prove fatal in an election year. Though the government will prefer to fight looming inflation, doing so would simply cause the economy to nosedive; and I doubt they’ll be willing to take that risk.

While it may appear that home prices have stabilized, my guess is, they have not. I predict we’ll continue to see overall prices remain at their current levels and, in some areas, to decline well into next year. Foreclosures and short-sales will keep pressure on home prices for another 2 – 4 years. I cannot foresee how we can possibly have a significant resurgence in prices for at least 5 years, with prices not returning to 2005/2006 levels for a decade or more.

Foreclosures and short-sales will make up as much as 40% of total sales for the next 30 – 36 months. And the percentage could possibly be greater, depending upon how eager banks will be to put their inventory on the market. Their preference will be to pace their release to keep prices from plummeting, but the sheer numbers may make that impossible for some banks. Even after the supply begins to dwindle, the effect upon home prices will continue for at least another year.

Unless the government passes a major and all-inclusive tax credit, sales must remain sluggish. I don’t expect another housing incentive. There is little public support for throwing more billions at the problem, knowing that whatever increase might be realized, the benefit would be limited, temporary, and far too expensive.

By spring of 2012 interest rates will rise sufficiently to negatively impact home sales. While this is not the path that politicians would prefer, approaching a presidential election, it will be necessary to keep us from unbridled inflation. This potential scenario supports the premise for a continuing housing slump, extending into the following year and beyond.

Finally, the mid-term election will be both chaotic and unsettling. Both political parties will pull out the stops as never before, one attempting to hold on to past gains, and the other to regain past losses; and they will spend more money, make more promises, and sling more mud than ever before. Political maneuvering in the coming year will certainly impact both the housing market and the economy, but it’s impossible to know what politicians are willing to do in order to maintain or gain power. While they would like for us to believe that their plans can restore the economy, there’s little remaining in their arsenal that can have a significant impact.

While many will view these predictions as meaningless negative claptrap, my intention is to share what I both see and believe to be true. If I am able to help one person make a more prudent choice, then my efforts will have been worthwhile. Take this with the proverbial “grain of salt,” but if it proves beneficial, we’ve both gained in the process.

Written by the Housing Gruru.

Tired of paying rent, and enticed by a first-time home buyer tax credit, First time home buyers are scouring the cities of the east bay for a house to meet their needs. And they are already running out of time.

The federal tax credit for first-time buyers is “a huge motivator” for these buyers, and they may end their search if the Nov. 30 deadline arrives and they still have not closed on a deal.

Timing is everything for many first-time buyers today. For those who purchase a home this year, the tax credit is for 10% of the purchase price, up to $8,000. Those who have owned a home in the past three years aren’t eligible. Buyers also have to meet eligibility requirements regarding income; the current credit begins to phase out for singles who make more than $75,000 and couples who make more than $150,000.

Unless it is extended, this credit will expire on Nov. 30. We are seeing an increase in buyers wanting to get closed prior to the tax credit closing deadline. there is also an increase in sellers wanting to get their homes on the market and closed by this deadline.

Some real-estate agents and mortgage brokers are recommending that first-time buyers close no later than the week before Thanksgiving to ensure that no holiday-related office closings or abbreviated schedules interfere with the process. That means finalizing a purchase on or before Nov. 20. In fact, to make sure you can take advantage of the credit, it’s probably best to go under contract no later than the first or second week of October.

The National Association of Realtors reports that it’s taking about two months to complete a home sale in the current market, as lenders scrutinize borrower paperwork and issues with appraisals pop up. In short, first-time buyers probably need to select a property and make an offer by the end of this month. But rushing to meet the deadline is a double-edged sword. The purchase of a home—let alone your first one—isn’t a decision that should be taken lightly.

For buyers who don’t make the deadline, there is a chance the credit will be extended. There are at least 20 bills drafted regarding the credit; one-third of them have been introduced recently. Some proposals would not only extend the first-time buyer credit into next year, but would also expand it to include all home buyers, remove income restrictions and raise the maximum amount of the credit, up to $15,000.

By including all buyers, there could be more of a ripple effect as more Americans spend money on moving vans, lawn equipment — any items or services associated with making a move. NAR has been lobbying heavily for the extension. “The first priority is going to be to renew the $8,000 credit, but we have some good arguments for expanding it,” said Jerry Giovaniello, senior vice president and chief lobbyist for NAR. He argues that the credit doesn’t cost much but has a huge impact.

There is growing Capitol Hill support for the extension of the credit. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., said it needs to be extended by the end of the year, according to a spokesman from his office. And Washington Research Group, a unit of securities firm Concept Capital, recently put the chance of extension at 60 percent.

Yet with Congress currently focusing on other issues, and concerns about the country’s rising deficit, some wonder how difficult it will be for housing to garner attention anytime soon.

If you’re a first-time buyer, however, waiting is a gamble. What you have in front of you now is a tax credit. After that, you don’t know what you have.

NAR estimates that about 1.8 million to 2 million first-time buyers will take advantage of the tax credit this year, and says that roughly 350,000 sales wouldn’t have taken place without the credit.

In the state of California you can apply for two different tax credits one from the state Gov. and one from the Federal Gov.

The federal Gov. is giving a tax credit in the amount of 10% of the sale price or 8000.00 which ever is less.

The state of California is giving a tax credit in the amount of 5% of the sale price or 10,000.00 which ever is less.

Neither is a loan nor does it have to be repaid.

What’s the catch, you ask? Well the federal tax credit has a limit on the income amount on the buyer can earn 75,000 for a single taxpayers and 150,000 for married taxpayers. Also, they must be first time buyers and purchase the home between 01/01/2009 and 12/01/2009

The state tax credit does not have a limit on your income, but it does require you to be purchasing a newly built home, between 03/01/2009 and 03/01/2010. the credit is not a loan as long as the home remains your primary residence for two years.

Home buyers can tap both programs and get a possible 18,000 tax credit, but time is running out to cash in on the opportunity. California set aside 100 million for the program and it is depleting faster than expected. Also the end of the federal program (12/01/2009) is fast approaching. Home buyers who don’t act now could end up out of luck…..